Some basic data [latest]
==Latest GDP growth 2.7%
==GDP growth expected for 06 2.9%
==Industrial Production growth 1.7%y/y
==Unemployment 10.05 6.6%
==trade balance positive $49bn
==Current account positive $16bn
==Budget balance 05 positive 1.2% of GDP
Short news
== A no confidence vote felled the ruling liberal
government paving the way for general elections in
January 06, only 19 months after the previous elections.
== Economic growth seems to be increasing
this year helped again by booming commodity prices
Employment improves and corporate profits are solid.
== Fiscal policy leads to a significant
surplus.
==Canada has a strong positive trade
balance, which allows the country to be open for imports.
Could be interesting for Nepali exports.
== Wonderful time. On the one side
Alberta & Saskatchewan are celebrating their Centenary.
On the other side prices for oil and other commodities
are soaring. Long stretches of highway are being resurfaced
and widened. In city centers new apartments, malls
and office blocks are rising, while on the outskirts
new factories are sprouting. "Help wanted' signs
are everywhere.
== Canada is the biggest supplier
of oil and gas to the US as it has reserves second
only to Saudi Arabia.
== Who is land wise bigger than Canada?
Well only Russia.
== Exports to China up 40%y/y making
Canada one of the few countries world wide that has
seen exports to China soar
== Go west is the latest motto, as
the west is developing fast due its riches of commodities
and its close links to a rising Asia.
Over all economy
China or at least the commodities
boom prompted by it's industrialization is reshaping
Canada's economy . The engines of growth in the 1990s
cars and high-tech industries have slowed down. Old
investment sectors such as mining have been reborn
and have become the new stars
Natural resources, construction and
services are now the three fastest growing sectors.
Natural resources and notably energy account for 60%
of Canada's exports This is good news for the resource
rich western provinces of Alberta and British Columbia
but less so for Ontario where manufacturing has been
hit hard by an appreciation of the Canadian dollar
and the continuing troubles of the north American
carmakers .
The Job market has been turned upside
down as well. Youth in rural Canada where jobs are
on offer in mines, oilfields and forests are now less
likely to be unemployed than their urban counterparts.
Since 2000, blue-collar work has grown more rapidly
than white-collar employment. Workers are scarce in
Alberta where the unemployment rate is with 3.4% half
the national average of 6.8%. Employers sometimes
are so despaired to find workers, that they refer
to unusual efforts, like handing out free iPods, free
transport and the chance of a university scholarship
The soaring price of oil and other commodities has
prompted a surge in investment. Some C$46bn of new
investment was announced beginning 05 alone in the
province of Alberta to explore and produce oil. Railway
lines are being built, ports expanded, and oil and
gas pipelines laid. Investment cycles in Canada generally
run for seven to ten years and this one is just at
its beginning .
Trade in goods between Canada and
China though growing fast was still only C$29bn in
04. China's biggest impact on Canada has been the
influence of its headlong economic growth on commodity
prices. High prices for these kind of exports lifted
Canada's trade surplus with C$ 66bn last year to new
highs. These economic shifts have their own complications
as money comes in, other provinces want to share the
income and there is growing tension over how.
Foreign exchange dealers now treat the Canadian dollar
as a petrocurrency. That points to its current strength
but raises two fears. One is of eventual bust when
oil prices fall. The other is of what economist call
"Dutch Disease", a condition in which primary
exports lead to a strong currency which squeezes local
manufacture.
Worst of all is the blow to national
pride. After decades of trying, the country seems
to have failed to become a high-tech economy. Its
main exports include basic chemicals, metals and minerals.
Yet the grief seems to be over done as Canada's hightech
sectors are also growing.
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