|
Mutual Fund in Nepal , the Intitiation of NCML Mutual
Fund
The target of any securities market , debt or equity
securities, is to arrange mainly locally available
financial means for investments in long-term oriented
projects in a country, which have difficulties to
be financed within the banking system. They may be
either in the private sector (like hotels, hydropower,
educational institutions, air transport or other)
or in the government sector (eg mainly development
expenses like infrastructure). These only in the long
term cash recovering projects have often difficulties
to get financed as very few investors are ready to
see their money bound for a too long period. Thus
the importance of a functioning security market lies
in the fact, that it makes long term investments short
term liquidable.
The idea to go for a securities market in Nepal came
exactly from this corner as money as such is not a
problem in Nepal, but capital means long term investment
resources are..
So NIDC Capital Market was created to be a facilitator
of the securities market and was indeed the main driving
force for the establishment of the same.
The first Mutual Fund in this country was created
after the starting of the first stock exchange in
this country end 1993. The main reason for the establishment
of the first Mutual Fund by NIDC Capital Market was,
that no stock market in the world can flourish without
institutional players.
Institutional players are necessary to bring securities
investment to a broad segment of society.
Having none at that time, it was essential to create
one if the creation of a stock exchange should make
sense at all in the medium run.
Amount of NCML
mutual fund
The Mutual Fund was founded as a timewise and capitalwise
open fund, as nobody could give any hint how much
the market was ready to invest. Thus the first primary
collection arranged NPR 30mio, but as the equity securities
market started to show positive results with stock
prices rising more money flowed in and the peak the
Fund had a portfolio of NPR 100mio..
Reason for the limited success of NCML
Mutual Fund
While the fund still exists today and has an inner
value of NPR 15 per unit the fund did not reach its
targets. What had been the targets?
Target one
was the creation of institutional players active in
the market. Although Provident Fund could have become
an institutional player it never became active. Citizen
investment trust created to become a daily player
as well was in the beginning not participating at
all. It became instead a long term investor, putting
its money purely in IPO’s where CIT was always
the loved baby getting help from every official side,
while NCML Mutual Fund was designated as the bad boy,
to whom one even cut the volume of IPO’s subscriptions.
The other player created at that time was Sharemarket
Ltd, which played indeed the speculator game. Very
important for an advanced stock market, but killing
in its infancy.
Target one partly successful
Target two
was creating awareness of good management handling
your portfolio if you are ready to invest.
With the fund open to refund any time the investment
in the fund became attractive, shown in the development
after the first issue, when the fund could collect
quite some money (in the context of a very early stockmarket
in Nepal) The management of the fund invested in companies
where the valuations were low and the potential in
principal high.
But with the fund showing some success, forces which
lost their good earning from private trading of the
time before the stock market was created became active
(the incumbents) and as any incumbent threatened by
a newcomer is fighting for survival, they started
to do exactly this.
How?
1) Starting to play volatility in the
market, targeting companies which were in the portfolio
of the Fund. This portfolio was transparent on daily
basis and that made the fund vulnerable.
2) Making investors in private talks insecure and
encouraging them to liquidate their investments in
the fund
3) Making it nearly impossible for NCML Mutual Fund
to invest in IPO’s by limiting the possible
investment to the utmost
4) Creating in the market a hysteria that the management
of the Fund made money on their own at the cost of
the investors (not a fact, but a good point to attack,
if people were ready to believe that everybody in
this country is a crook) .
5) Putting one investigation after another to NIDC
Capital Market, which didn’t help the management
of the fund, but which every time ended without negative
results.
6) When this didn’t help starting to refer to
hefty personal attacks not hesitating to take any
step to discredit the top management of NIDC Capital
Market and making it impossible to take needed decisions.
7) After this the hefty outflow was unavoidable. Still
even then the necessary liquidity wasn’t a problem
at all, even in the narrow stock market, as some parts
of the portfolio were in hefty demand. Nepal Bank
portfolio disposal alone would have solved the whole
run on the fund as at that time quite a few big houses
in Nepal were interested in the acquisition of the
same at a very high profit for NCML MF. But the game
of the incumbents was to avoid that and so no decision
could be made. Let’s not go in more details
but the game was bloody ugly.
8) After this the Central Bank was called to the rescue.
Financially it did, but handing over the handling
of the Mutual Fund portfolio to an absolute incompetent
trustee wasn’t helping
9) Another investor unfriendly measure was the change
of a daily refundable Paper into a listed paper. Agreed
that was necessary, but trading without any market
making was killing the fund.
Thus it is more than astonishing that
the fund survived and has nowadays an inner value
of NPR 15. Make your own mind.
It’s not a success story, but sometimes its
even a wonder if something, shot at from all possible
corners, still survives.
Scope of mutual
fund in nepalese market
Money is not a huge problem in Nepal’s environment.
Even though a lot of money has already fled the country
and total remittances are increasingly said to slow
down, the Mutual Fund Industry in this country could
pi
ck up under certain circumstances..
How?
First
Allowing more existing institutional players and new
ones to enter the securities market
and allowing the banks and the financial institutions
to invest unlimited in the securities market.
Second
a MF should be easily tradable or refundable.
Shares are in the existing market difficult to trade.
If the market goes up it gets more difficult to buy
as nobody wants to sell. If the market goes down nobody
is interested to buy. This contributes to low market
liquidity It is one of the reasons besides abominable
company governance that only banking shares are traded
to a certain extend. All other papers are more or
less dead trousers, even if insurance companies are
in this country good money spinners.
A MF, which can guarantee, that the investor gets
his investment back, when he desires so, could make
it an interesting vehicle.
Third
a MF should be treated with priorities in IPO’s
Sounds funny, as in few countries share prices of
companies without profits are going up, if there is
no speculation behind.
But in Nepal reasonable IPO’s in non financial
or insurance sector have little successes. So the
market stays married to one sort of companies, which
isn’t healthy at all. If reasonable companies
are coming to market money can be made even with shares
in an early stage, For this a deeper analysis of the
promoters and their success in other projects and
an economic sector analysis are needed, For a fund
with a good management nothing new.
Priorities in IPO treatments are
a must
Fourth
debt securities have to be introduced in a bigger
extend
Seems possible if one follows the talk of officials,
but mind you talk is not action. Still seeing the
glimpses of debt securities development in this country
it could become interesting. Why?
Up to now debt securities from banks are the only
one’s allowed.
If a MF gets the right of placements for industry,
trade and services then the fund could play a very
active role.
Risk it’s not a standard business for Mutual
Funds
Fifth
Volume of MF has to be reasonable to secure management
fees
Good management of a Mutual Fund is not cheap. This
means, if the fees should be acceptable to the market
you need big volume. If the government allows a very
sizable amount to be placed combined with special
privileges, one of them to invest also abroad, reaching
the needed volume could be possible. Nearly everyone
right now is interested to put at least some money
outside. On the other hand if the government would
allow such foreign investments it could be read as
a sign that the government believes in the future
of this country, which could have to some extend even
a reverse effect, at least after a certain acclimatization
period.
This investment should stay within the SAARC region
as the SAARC cooperation is one pillar of economic
policy in this country. But seeing the initial reactions
of bureaucrats this will be a very big hurdle to overcome.
Views on banks introducing
mutual fund in Nepal
Banks with international ties can do
the job if their mother companies have a record of
Mutual Fund business. This excludes all banks which
don’t have and that is the big majority nowadays.
The Banks in this country, who fit into the picture,
are basically Everest Bank, with Indian connections,
Standard Charter, with European connections, and Nepal
Investment Bank, with no international connection
but to some extend in house experience if one includes
its affiliates.
|